BIG MARLEY’S UFC 227 BETTING PREVIEW

There’s a lot of cash to be won this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k from the primary tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier competitions on this week, where the last event will pay $50k into 1st if you did qualify to perform inside. I will be pursuing those as well because we have never had a $50k 1st place prize and I need it. I do think we have a enjoyable card this Saturday and I am all set to go into this 3-week break with a winning night at UFC 227. Listed below are a couple plays I enjoy this weekend together with my fade of the week.
Money Game play of the week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he’s the maximum ceiling as well. DJ is the P4P best fight on earth (not counting Jon Jones) and he has beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I am plugging into my money LU this week and I suggest you do exactly the same. DJ is almost sure to score at 100-points at a win, and he has a -550 betting line saying he should find the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to pile this fight as well, however I think DJ is a must.
GPP play of this week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great fight to target this week because it most likely will not visit a decision. Holland just fought on the Contender Series a few weeks ago and did not receive a contract. But today he’s about the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers in the branch. The ITD lineup for Santos is now -210 and the below 1.5 rounds betting line is -160. This tells me Vegas believes this battle ends early and Santos is the man which should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he readily pays that cost off at a 1st round win and I presume he’s a good shot at doing exactly that. I really don’t care for him in money game formats though because both guys have quite low flooring, so this is a GPP just play for me personally.
Underdog drama of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everybody is writing off Brett Johns after his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is exactly why he’s so economical on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he has 100+ upside in a decision win. Obviously, we’re concerned about him getting caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but when he can avoid that I think he could win this fight and 10x his wages with a win. I really don’t think Johns will wish to strike with Munhoz to get 15-minutes so that I really do believe he will be shooting takedowns. Those takedowns can get him submitted, or else they may get him a win on the scorecards. However, this makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he is a solid underdog to pick in GPPs this week.
Fade of the week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a finish to cover that price label off with her fashion. She’s the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings point and even if she’s a triumph here she could end up scoring significantly less than several losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so in the event that you would like to spend your money on a 115 lb lady with a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be very contrarian taking that route. However, I have no interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I was making 150 lineups, I would still complete fade Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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